In just over two weeks, will be here — a final cap to a wild, at times unprecedented presidential fight that, for the moment, remains far too close to call. The story of the 2024 race is that amid the chaos — President Joe Biden dropping out of the race, Vice President ‘ emergence, and two assassination attempts on former President Donald Trump’s life — control of the White House still hinges on a coin-flip. As pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson pointed out, the 2024 race is exceptional because there has been little movement in national polling since Labor Day, the traditional starting date of the final pre-Election Day slog.

Without a second presidential debate between Trump and Harris, there are also no major moments left that could presumably shake up the race. All that remains are the unexpected "October surprises," though, in today's media environment, the bar for earth-shattering is pretty hard to cross if you're not North Carolina Lt. Gov.

. (And even then, can one really be surprised when it comes to him?) The good news for Trump is that since his widely panned debate performance against Harris. The RealClearPolitics national average has narrowed by roughly 0.

5 percentage points in the past week. Noted election forecaster Nate Silver's model now shows Trump with an extremely slight lead in what continues to remain a toss-up race. According to FiveThirtyEight's state averages, Trump has narrowed Harris' lead in the three so-called Blue Wall states of Wisconsin,.